Breaking down Patriots odds for Tom Brady, Lamar Jackson and different free agent QBs

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A variety of high-profile quarterbacks may very well be on the transfer this offseason, and the Patriots preserve popping up of their playing odds.

Whereas Mac Jones was a first-rounder in 2021, at DraftKings Sportsbook, the Patriots are within the Prime 6 for the following vacation spot of Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Lamar Jackson and Derek Carr. So is there any probability of these quarterbacks really touchdown in New England?

Let’s dive in and see how these traces are presently shaking out:

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Tom Brady: +1200 (sixth)

May Tom Brady actually return to New England for a swan track?

It feels actually unlikely, and the percentages have dropped since DraftKings initially posted them. On NFL Gameday over the weekend, longtime teammate Devin McCourty forecasted a distinct vacation spot for Brady.

“I believe for Tom, it’s determining — and he mentioned he’s going to take time — what I need him to do: Return to New England. I’ll return too if he goes,” McCourty mentioned. “However what I believe he’s going to do, he’s going to maintain enjoying. I believe a group just like the Titans, he has (Mike) Vrabel down there, a man he performed with. Not too removed from his household being on the east coast. Completely different than going all the way in which out to Vegas. I do know Josh McDaniels is on the market, however you go to Tennessee, nice working again, good protection, they’ll get some extra weapons in there to throw the ball to. I can see Tom proper there persevering with his nice profession.”

Given the offensive weaponry in New England and the way in which issues ended, why would Brady come again when he has apparent options like Las Vegas and Tennessee?

Aaron Rodgers +1200 (fifth)

Rodgers is about as wild as wild playing cards get, so this one feels prefer it may really occur if the 39-year-old decides to maintain enjoying. In his MMQB column, NBC Sports activities’ Peter King sees Rodgers coming to New England as a traditional Invoice Belichick transfer.

“Or Rodgers to the Patriots, which appears very Belichickian, to maybe give Mac Jones two studying seasons within the shadows,” King wrote.

Belichick has raved about Rodgers previously and made certain to hunt him out for a pregame chat when the Patriots had been at Lambeau Area final October.

“The factor that touched me that I actually appreciated was him coming over pregame,” Rodgers mentioned on “The Pat McAfee Present.” “As a result of postgame, you’re all the time going to have a second with the opposite quarterback or head coach or any person , however there’s so many cameras and microphones, it’s laborious to essentially have an actual dialog. However he stopped over after we had been simply beginning our throwing traces and bought to talk for 45 seconds or a minute, and that was actually significant as a result of there’s no cameras round, there’s no microphones.

“To have a superb dialog, share mutual respect and admiration like that was actually cool. And clearly, he’s an exceptional coach.”

There’s a serious caveat with this line: It’s if Jackson is NOT with the Ravens subsequent season, versus the others, that are only for a quarterback’s subsequent cease; the Buccaneers and Packers are each listed within the Brady and Rodgers odds, respectively.

And all indicators level to Jackson returning to Baltimore, both through the franchise tag or a brand new long-term contract. Final week, John Harbaugh mentioned the quarterback would have a ton of enter on whoever Baltimore’s new offensive coordinator is.

“100%,” Harbaugh mentioned. “2 hundred p.c. There’s no query about it. Lamar Jackson is our quarterback. He’s been our quarterback. Every little thing we’ve finished by way of constructing an offense and constructing the group, how we expect by way of placing individuals round him, is predicated on this unimaginable younger man, his expertise, his potential and his competitiveness.

“He and I had been speaking (final week), too, and the factor about Lamar that stands out — he’s an unimaginable competitor. … He’s only a large competitor.”

Positive feels like he’s Baltimore’s man, proper?

The Jets (+350), Saints (+400) and Colts (+450) are all higher than 5-to-1 favorites, so although the Patriots are listed sixth, they’re distant at +1100 (11-to-1).

It’s laborious to see Carr as a lot of an improve over Jones, particularly contemplating the way in which he underwhelmed in Josh McDaniels’ offense. If the Patriots had been going this route, a Jimmy Garropolo reunion — who isn’t listed within the odds — would really feel far more probably.

Bonus: DeAndre Hopkins +500 (third)

He’s not a quarterback, however Hopkins is listed sooner or later bets, too.

Solely the Packers (+380) and Chiefs (+450) have higher odds than the Patriots, Hopkins would fill an apparent want, and new Cardinals basic supervisor Monti Ossenfort has a robust relationship with Belichick and deep ties to the Patriots franchise.

“To the individuals within the Patriots group: Mr. Kraft, Jonathan, Dan Kraft and the remainder of the Kraft household — that was a first-hand take a look at what it means to be a first-class group,” Ossenfort mentioned in his introductory press convention. “The success we had (in my time) there: 4 Tremendous Bowl wins, made it to 3 others, numerous variety of division titles. It was an expertise that actually has formed the inspiration of who I’m.

“To Coach Belichick, day by day going to work was a masterclass schooling in learn how to construct a successful group,” Ossenfort mentioned. “There are core beliefs that I imagine (in) that I’ll take from there, as I’ll take from each step alongside my approach, that I plan to carry right here and put my very own spin on it and make it the Cardinal Manner.”